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The calm before the Fed storm?
Last Updated: January 28, 2026
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Crypto today isn't moving much - but it's paying VERY close attention. This past day, the market hasn't been reacting to headlines so much as positioning around one looming event: the Fed. Not because the decision itself is expected to shock anyone, but because how the Fed talks about the future is the only thing that really matters right now. And crypto knows it. 👉 Bitcoin spent most of the day circling the same levels ($89K - $90K); 👉 ETH moved in sync near $3K; 👉 Broadly, prices drifted higher (~$50B added to total crypto market cap) before momentum faded. Nothing explosive. Nothing alarming.
But this price action wasn't indecision - it was restraint. Futures markets are pricing 95%+ odds that the Fed holds rates steady today, so traders aren't gambling on the decision itself. They're waiting for tone / guidance / one sentence that hints at when cuts might actually come. Macro desks are almost entirely focused on forward expectations, not policy changes. Crypto's trading that same script. So, everything funnels into the same moment: Powell speaks, the market listens. 👉 If guidance leans even slightly dovish, the market might breathe again. 👉 If it doesn't, we could get a pullback, a spike in volatility, and a collective recalibration. Either way, today was about positioning. And positioning days? They're usually calm right before they're not.
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