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Another country wants spot BTC ETFs - here's why it matters
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Plus: Jobs data cools down rate-cut hopes Today's newsletter is brought to you by |
Crypto today feels like that moment on a treadmill when your foot lands weird. You didn't fall. Nobody noticed. But you're suddenly very focused on your balance and a lot less interested in jogging. Bitcoin spent the day hovering around $90K, basically unchanged since yesterday. But the numbers everyone was watching weren't on the price chart - they were in the ETF flow data. Another $398.8M left US spot Bitcoin ETFs yesterday, pushing the three-day total to ~$1.1B. And that's a combo that matters. Flat price + continued outflows creates a specific kind of market mood - not fear, not confidence, just restraint. Buyers didn't feel urgency. Sellers didn't feel pressure. The market didn't argue with the information; it just absorbed it.
And macro wasn't exactly holding crypto's hand either. US jobs data beat expectations: 👉 Payroll growth came in stronger than expected; 👉 And unemployment's holding near recent lows. Translation: the economy isn't cooling fast enough to force near-term rate cuts. As a result, the US dollar stayed supported, and Treasury yields held their ground. For crypto, such conditions make the upside harder 🥲 Moving forward, analysts are focusing on: 👉 Whether ETF outflows slow or at least stabilize; 👉 The state of yields and the dollar - since rate expectations are still steering risk behavior; 👉 And the US Supreme Court tariff ruling, because of its potential impact on inflation expectations and liquidity. Overall, the price didn't move, but the message did. And right now, the message is: prove it.
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