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$250 Billion Crypto Crash Blamed on US Liquidity Crunch, Says Raoul Pal

Key Takeaways

  • ​Raoul Pal says the $250 billion crypto drop happened because US dollar liquidity fell, not due to crypto itself;
  • Bitcoin and SaaS stocks both depend on future growth and easy credit, so they moved down together;
  • Gold gains and US funding troubles reduced liquidity, which pushed riskier assets like crypto lower.

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$250 Billion Crypto Crash Blamed on US Liquidity Crunch, Says Raoul Pal

A recent selloff wiped about $250 billion from the crypto market, but analyst Raoul Pal believes the cause lies in shrinking US dollar liquidity.

Pal, who heads Global Macro Investor, said on X that the downturn fits a pattern hitting several risk-sensitive investments at once.

He pushed back against claims that Bitcoin’s BTC $78,673.73 cycle has ended or that the market is “broken". He noted that Software-as-a-Service stocks have fallen alongside crypto.

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Pal explained that SaaS shares and Bitcoin behave similarly because they rely on expectations about future growth and adoption. Their value depends on the availability of money in the system and on borrowing costs.

When liquidity tightens and rates stay high, these assets tend to lose ground. He added that while many say “crypto is dead” or that “AI is taking over software", these stories miss the bigger picture: both groups are reacting to the same economic pressure.

He stated, "The rally in gold essentially sucked all marginal liquidity out of the system that would have flowed into BTC and SaaS. There was not enough liquidity to support all these assets, so the riskiest got hit".

Pal pointed to temporary strains in US funding channels as an added factor. Two government shutdowns and technical issues have limited short-term cash flow.

Recently, Arthur Hayes said Bitcoin could rise if the US Federal Reserve prints money to support Japan’s struggling bond market. How? Read the full story.

Aaron S. Editor-In-Chief
Having completed a Master’s degree in Economics, Politics, and Cultures of the East Asia region, Aaron has written scientific papers analyzing the differences between Western and Collective forms of capitalism in the post-World War II era.
With close to a decade of experience in the FinTech industry, Aaron understands all of the biggest issues and struggles that crypto enthusiasts face. He’s a passionate analyst who is concerned with data-driven and fact-based content, as well as that which speaks to both Web3 natives and industry newcomers.
Aaron is the go-to person for everything and anything related to digital currencies. With a huge passion for blockchain & Web3 education, Aaron strives to transform the space as we know it, and make it more approachable to complete beginners.
Aaron has been quoted by multiple established outlets, and is a published author himself. Even during his free time, he enjoys researching the market trends, and looking for the next supernova.

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