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BTC held the $85K level. Now what?
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Crypto today feels like the morning after a big emotional conversation. Nobody's yelling anymore. Everyone's just replaying what was said and deciding what they actually believe. We already talked through the CPI story yesterday - the soft print, the failed push toward $90K, the leverage that jumped in late and got washed out for $500M+ in liquidations. That part didn't change. What did change is how the market digested it once the adrenaline wore off. Instead of continuing lower, Bitcoin stabilized - it spent most of today in the $87K - $88K range. That's the market saying, "Okay, lesson learned," not "Get me out at any price." Post-liquidation behavior tells you a lot. If this were real fear, we'd still be sliding. We're not.
But the bigger switch today wasn't CPI - it was macro outside the US. Enter Japan. The Bank of Japan raised rates to ~0.75%, the highest level in decades. Now, Japan sits under a huge chunk of global liquidity trades, and when its rates move, it messes with carry trades, FX positioning, and overall risk appetite. Translation: global markets got a reminder that central banks aren't all done tightening just because US inflation cooled.
Overall, yesterday was about disappointment - good news that didn't deliver immediate upside. Today was about acceptance. The market seems to agree on one thing: CPI helps the medium-term story, not the short-term one. It supports the idea that conditions can ease in 2025–2026, but it doesn't magically inject liquidity into December trading. Once that clicked, the emotional edge came off. So what actually matters now? 👉 First, whether BTC keeps holding above $85K - $86K. Holding after a failed breakout is constructive; 👉 Second, watch global rates and currencies, not just US CPI. Japan reminded everyone that liquidity is a global game; 👉 And third, pay attention to how price behaves if we drift back toward $90K again. If the market moves with less hesitation next time, yesterday really was just a rehearsal. Right now, crypto isn't euphoric. It's not scared either. It's standing there, arms crossed, saying: "Show me."
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