Bitcoin Could Still Crash 50% Despite Wall Street Buzz

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Tom Lee Warns: Bitcoin Could Still Crash 50% Despite Wall Street Buzz

Written by Aaron S.,

Editor-In-Chief

Last Updated: October 24, 2025

Key Takeaways

Despite growing institutional interest, Bitcoin could still see sharp 50% declines, warns BitMine chairman Tom Lee;
Lee believes Bitcoin mirrors stock market movements but tends to react more strongly during downturns;
Bitcoin may have broken from its four-year price cycle, with Lee still projecting a $200,000 to $250,000 price target by year-end.

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Tom Lee Warns: Bitcoin Could Still Crash 50% Despite Wall Street Buzz

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Despite growing interest from financial institutions, Bitcoin BTC $89,574.73 remains vulnerable to price drops, according to BitMine chairman Tom Lee.

In an interview with Anthony Pompliano, Lee stated that Bitcoin could still fall by as much as 50% under the right conditions.

While some believe that Bitcoin’s volatility is fading due to the rise of spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and more mainstream investment, Lee does not share that view.

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He pointed out that Bitcoin often moves in line with stock markets, and its reactions can be stronger.

Lee explained that stock indexes have seen more frequent 25% declines in recent years. Because Bitcoin often reacts more strongly than traditional markets, he noted that if the S&P 500 were to drop by 20%, Bitcoin might fall twice as far.

He also said that Bitcoin appears to have moved away from its traditional four-year price cycle, which previously suggested a high point around October.

During a recent appearance on the Bankless podcast, Lee restated his prediction that Bitcoin could reach between $200,000 and $250,000 by the end of the year.

However, he also acknowledged that even from those levels, a 50% correction could bring the price down to around $125,000. That would still be close to Bitcoin’s all-time high.

Recently, market analysts reported that Bitcoin’s price struggled to build momentum while long-term holders continued to cash out. What did they say? Read the full story.