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Arthur Hayes, founder of BitMEX
According to Hayes, this event will spark a rush of similar stablecoin firms going public, but most will not last. He noted that investors will be drawn in by hype, only to be let down when these new companies fail to meet their valuations.
In a blog post on June 16, Hayes predicted that after one stablecoin issuer manages to raise large amounts of money through marketing and financial tricks, the hype will collapse. This will mark the peak of what he calls the "stablecoin mania".
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While he expects a rise in stablecoin stocks in the short term, Hayes does not recommend people bet against them yet. He warned that short sellers could lose money quickly, especially while public interest remains strong and lawmakers in the US are considering new regulations for stablecoins.
Hayes described the newcomers as "Circle copycats" and compared investing in them to a game of hot potato, marked by quick trades, fast exits, and no long-term holding.
Additionally, he argued that most of these firms will not succeed because they lack access to the three channels necessary to distribute their stablecoins, which include crypto exchanges, social media platforms, or traditional banks.
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